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29 May 2025,07:19
Daily Market Analysis
29 May 2025, 07:19
Key Takeaways:
*EU-US trade talk sentiment stalls, euro eases in strength.
*Focus on today’s French GDP and German job data to gauge the euro’s strength.
As of May 28, 2025, the Euro (EUR) has experienced a stall in its recent strength, driven by fading optimism surrounding trade negotiations with the United States. Market attention has shifted back to U.S. trade developments, which have bolstered the U.S. Dollar (USD) and exerted downward pressure on the EUR. The relative strength of the USD has been a key factor in the Euro’s recent underperformance, as investors reassess the implications of U.S. trade policies on global markets.
Investors are now turning their attention to key Eurozone economic indicators to gauge the region’s economic health and its implications for the Euro. Specifically, today’s release of French GDP data and German employment figures are expected to provide critical insights into the Eurozone’s economic momentum. Stronger-than-expected data could bolster confidence in the Euro, potentially countering the USD’s recent gains. Conversely, weaker data may reinforce the current pressure on the EUR, further undermining its near-term performance in financial markets.
The Euro’s trajectory will likely hinge on a combination of domestic economic performance and external factors, including U.S. trade policy developments. Positive economic data from France and Germany could restore market confidence in the Eurozone’s growth prospects, supporting the EUR in the short term. However, persistent strength in the USD, driven by favorable U.S. trade developments, may continue to cap the Euro’s upside potential. Additionally, the ECB’s monetary policy stance and Lagarde’s commentary on de-dollarization will remain focal points for investors seeking clarity on the Euro’s long-term outlook.
The EUR/USD pair has weakened, retreating from its recent high near the 1.1410 mark and posting a 0.8% decline in recent sessions. The loss in momentum has raised caution among traders, with the focus now turning to the critical support level at 1.1340.
A decisive break below this pivotal level could signal a potential shift in the pair’s bullish structure, opening the door to further downside. However, EUR/USD continues to trade above its broader uptrend support line, which keeps the bullish trajectory technically intact for now.
Should the pair fail to hold above this trendline, it would likely confirm a bearish reversal, suggesting a deeper correction ahead. For now, traders will closely watch price action around the 1.1340 level for signs of direction.
Resistance Levels: 1.1340, 1.1467
Support Levels: 1.1200, 1.1075
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